Tushar's Stock Tips: New Multibagger: Shiv-Vani Oil

Saturday, December 8, 2007

New Multibagger: Shiv-Vani Oil

Shiv-Vani Oil-Drilling Profits

BSE 522175;

CMP Rs 551

Target: 1000 in 12 months

Shiv-Vani Drilling is likely to become one of the prime beneficiaries of the near $ 3 bn Oil Exploration Budget of Ongc over the next 2-3 years. The hunt for Crude Oil is on in right earnest, as the GOI opens ever more larger blocks to foreign and domestic oil explorers both on-shore and off-shore. The Key Mantra these days is Oil Security and beyond Mukta, Panna, Tapti, Lakshmi, Aishwarya and Cairns Mangala on-shore prospects, only the Deen Dayal and Dhirubhai fields in AP offshore have discovered either oil or gas, since Crude was discovered in the Assam-Arakan belt before independence and in the Bombay High segments in then early 70s.

Shiv-Vani has 25 onshore rigs under operation with one more getting added in FY08. Additionally, it has 4 offshore vessels and is seeking to acquire jack-up rigs and PSVs, which would diversify its Revenues from just onshore oil exploration to the Offshore Oil, Pipeline Construction, Gas Compression and Allied Services segment especially development of Coal Bed Methane blocks and gasification and re-gasification of Natural Gas as more gas becomes available for transport, in about 8 months from now from the Krishna-Godavari fields. Shiv-Vani is the biggest private sector rig owner and operator in India for on-shore operations with 4 seismic data acquisition equipment, 4 crew boats, 7 compressors, 233 drilling rigs, 425 logistic supply vehicles, that include cranes, bunk houses, trailers, prime movers and forklifts.

Shiv-Vani is undergoing a CAPEX of Rs 600 crore, a part of which has been financed through private equity placed with Citigroup Internationational Growth Partnership Mauritius at Rs 375 per share. This CAPEX is being made to prepare Shiv-Vani for the NELP VII which will offer 80 to 85 blocks covering an area of 352,000 sq kms.

While Ongc has been accounting for nearly 60 per cent of Shiv-Vani's Revenues, it is the entry of Cairn, Reliance, Videocon and GSPC which is making the field bigger and wider. Earlier this year Ongc had made an attempt to acquire 25 onshore rigs from UPET of Romania, which ultimately did not work out. Now Ongc is trying to acquire 17 Rigs for exploration in the Assam-Arakan Oil belt. Shiv-Vani is likely to be the prime beneficiary of this effort as it possesses the largest number of onshore drilling rigs in the country. Any newsflow on this count will work as a price trigger for Shiv-Vani.

Even though FY09 will turn out to be a year of massive growth for Shiv-Vani, but at 16 times FY08 forecast earnings Shiv-Vani Oil appears to be amongst the cheapest plays in the sector when compared to marginal oil drilling players like Garware Offshore and Jindal Drilling which offer just OSVs and 2 Oil Drilling Rigs between themselves.

No comments:

Post a Comment

Disclaimer

This Document is subject to changes without prior notice and is intended only for the person or entity to which it is addressed to and may contain confidential and/or privileged material and is not for any type of circulation. Any review, retransmission, or any other use is prohibited. Kindly note that this document does not constitute an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction.

The information contained herein is from publicly available data or other sources believed to be reliable. While I would endeavour to update the information herein on reasonable basis, I am under no obligation to update or keep the information current. Also, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that may prevent me from doing so. I do not represent that information contained herein is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. This document is prepared for assistance only and is not intended to be and must not alone betaken as the basis for an investment decision. The user assumes the entire risk of any use made of this information. Each recipient of this document should make such investigations as it deems necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of companies referred to in this document (including the merits and risks involved), and should consult its own advisors to determine the merits and risks of such an investment. The investment discussed or views expressed may not be suitable for all investors. I do not undertake to advise you as to any change of my views. I may have issued other reports that are inconsistent with and reach different conclusion from the information presented in this report. This report is not directed or intended for distribution to, or use by, any person or entity who is a citizen or resident of or located in any locality, state, country or other jurisdiction, where such distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to law, regulation or which would subject me to any registration or licensing requirement within such jurisdiction. The securities described herein may or may not be eligible for sale in all jurisdictions or to certain category of investors. Persons in whose possession this document may come are required to inform themselves of and to observe such restriction. I may have used the information set forth herein before publication and may have positions in, may from time to time purchase or sell or may be materially interested in any of the securities mentioned or related securities. I may from time to time solicit from, or perform investment banking, or other services for, any company mentioned herein. Without limiting any of the foregoing, in no event shall I or any third party involved in, or related to, computing or compiling the information have any liability for any damages of any kind.